Monday, September 22, 2025

Windows 10 to Windows 11 Transfer Action Plan

 

Windows 10 to Windows 11 Transfer & Ubuntu Conversion Plan

Why This Migration is Critical

The Challenge: Microsoft will stop providing security updates for Windows 10 on October 14, 2025. After this date, unpatched systems become vulnerable to new threats and lose software compatibility. Historical examples (Windows XP in 2014, Windows 7 in 2020) show that unsupported systems quickly become targets for malware like WannaCry ransomware.

The Hardware Problem: Many older laptops cannot upgrade to Windows 11 due to strict requirements including TPM 2.0 security chips and 8th generation Intel processors or newer.

Impact on All Users:

  • Standard Users: Face security vulnerabilities, software incompatibility, and potential compliance issues
  • High-Security/Air-Gapped Environments: Still need supported systems for compliance, offline software compatibility, and protection against insider threats and removable media attacks
  • Organizations: Must choose between expensive Extended Security Updates ($30-200+ annually per device), forced hardware upgrades, or migration to alternative platforms

This Plan's Solution: Your laptop lacks TPM 2.0 but bypass methods exist for Windows 11 installation. This plan offers three paths: keep Windows 10 and convert to Ubuntu (recommended), bypass to Windows 11 then convert to Ubuntu, or bypass to keep both systems on Windows 11—maximizing flexibility while ensuring long-term security.


Plan Overview

This systematic approach transfers your data and applications from Windows 10 to Windows 11, then converts your old laptop to Ubuntu Linux. The process spans seven phases over 2-3 weeks, prioritizing data safety through built-in redundancy and verification steps.

Applications Being Transferred:

  • RoboForm password manager
  • Microsoft Office (standalone license)
  • Firefox browser with complete settings
  • Thunderbird email client with accounts

Key Benefits:

  • Zero data loss through systematic backup and verification
  • Works regardless of old laptop's Windows 11 compatibility
  • Avoids McAfee bloatware while leveraging Windows Defender
  • Transforms old hardware into secure Ubuntu system
  • Maintains functional backup computer throughout transition

Timeline:

  • Days 1-2: Compatibility check, path selection, preparation, and data backup
  • Day 1A (Optional): Windows 11 bypass if Path B or C chosen
  • Days 2-3: Transfer execution and new computer setup
  • Day 3-4: Testing and verification
  • Weeks 2-3: Ubuntu conversion (Paths A & B only)

Phase 1: Pre-Transfer Setup (Day 1)

✅ Prepare Old Computer - Choose Your Path

✓ Compatibility Status: Laptop lacks TPM 2.0 but can bypass Windows 11 requirements

Choose one of three paths:

Path A: Original Plan (Recommended)

  • Keep on Windows 10 during transfer (perfectly safe)
  • Convert to Ubuntu later (excellent performance, 5+ years support)
  • Advantage: Ubuntu optimized for older hardware, completely free

Path B: Bypass to Windows 11 First

  • Use TPM bypass method to upgrade to Windows 11
  • Transfer data between two Windows 11 systems
  • Convert to Ubuntu later (or keep Windows 11)
  • Advantage: Latest Windows experience during transfer

Path C: Keep Both on Windows 11

  • Bypass upgrade old laptop to Windows 11
  • Skip Ubuntu conversion entirely
  • Risk: Reduced security without TPM, potential update issues

All Paths Continue With:

  • Run Windows Update to ensure system is current
  • Clean up unnecessary files (Disk Cleanup tool)
  • Create safety backup of critical files to external drive/cloud
  • Gather software installation media and license keys

✅ Find Microsoft Office Product Key

✅ Security Decision

  • DECLINE McAfee installation during Dell setup
  • If McAfee already installed: Uninstall immediately
  • Verify Windows Defender is enabled on new computer
  • Run Windows Update on new computer

Phase 1A: Optional Windows 11 Bypass (If Path B or C Chosen)

✅ Windows 11 TPM Bypass Methods

Method 1: Registry Bypass During Clean Install

  • Download Windows 11 ISO from Microsoft: https://www.microsoft.com/software-download/windows11
  • Create bootable USB using Rufus: https://rufus.ie/
  • Boot from Windows 11 installation USB
  • Press Shift + F10 to open Command Prompt
  • Type regedit and press Enter
  • Navigate to: HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINE\SYSTEM\Setup
  • Right-click Setup → New → Key → Name it LabConfig
  • Inside LabConfig, create these DWORD (32-bit) values, set each to 1:
    • BypassTPMCheck
    • BypassSecureBootCheck
    • BypassRAMCheck
  • Close Registry Editor and continue installation

Method 2: Upgrade from Windows 10 (Easier)

  • Open Registry Editor in Windows 10 (Run as Administrator)
  • Navigate to: HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINE\SYSTEM\Setup\MoSetup
  • Right-click → New → DWORD (32-bit) Value
  • Name: AllowUpgradesWithUnsupportedTPMOrCPU
  • Double-click and set Value to: 1
  • Download Windows 11 ISO, mount it, run setup.exe
  • Upgrade should proceed without TPM requirement

✅ Post-Bypass Verification

  • Verify Windows 11 installation completed successfully
  • Check Windows Update for latest patches
  • Test all hardware functions (WiFi, audio, etc.)
  • Important: Note that some security features may be unavailable

Phase 2: Application Data Backup (Day 1-2)

✅ RoboForm Backup

  • Open RoboForm → Tools → Options → Backup
  • Create backup file (.rfb)
  • Save to external drive and cloud storage
  • Test backup file integrity

✅ Firefox Profile Backup

  • Firefox Menu → Help → More Troubleshooting Information
  • Click "Open Folder" next to Profile Folder
  • Copy entire profile folder to external drive
  • Note folder name for restoration

✅ Thunderbird Profile Backup

  • Help → More Troubleshooting Information → Show in Folder
  • Copy entire Thunderbird profile folder to external drive
  • Export address book as additional backup
  • Note account settings (server names, ports, etc.)

✅ Additional Backups

  • Export bookmarks from other browsers
  • Copy custom templates from %APPDATA%\Microsoft\Templates\
  • Backup any custom dictionaries or autocorrect entries
  • List installed programs for reference

Phase 3: File Transfer (Day 2)

✅ Transfer Personal Files

Primary folders to copy:

  • Desktop
  • Documents
  • Pictures
  • Music
  • Videos
  • Downloads (selective)

Hidden/System folders:

  • %APPDATA% (application settings)
  • Browser bookmarks and settings
  • Email signatures and templates

✅ Transfer Method Selection

Choose one:

  • USB 3.0 external drive (recommended for speed)
  • Network transfer via shared folder
  • Cloud storage sync
  • Direct cable transfer

Phase 4: New Computer Setup (Day 2-3)

✅ Install Core Applications

  • Install Firefox browser
  • Install Thunderbird email client
  • Install RoboForm password manager
  • Install Microsoft Office using product key

✅ Microsoft Office Installation

  • Use original media or download from office.com: https://office.com
  • Enter saved product key during installation
  • Choose standalone installation (not subscription)
  • Verify activation: File → Account → Product Activated
  • Test all Office applications

✅ Restore Application Data

  • RoboForm: Tools → Options → Restore → Select backup file
  • Firefox: Replace profile folder in %APPDATA%\Mozilla\Firefox\Profiles\
  • Thunderbird: Replace profile folder in %APPDATA%\Thunderbird\Profiles\
  • Restart each application after restoration

Phase 5: Configuration & Testing (Day 3)

✅ System Configuration

  • Set up printers and peripherals
  • Configure Windows settings to match preferences
  • Install Windows Updates
  • Set up backup solution for new computer

✅ Security Setup

  • Confirm Windows Defender is active and updated
  • Configure firewall settings
  • Install uBlock Origin browser extension
  • Consider Malwarebytes free for occasional scans

✅ Verification Testing

  • Test RoboForm password filling
  • Verify Firefox bookmarks and extensions work
  • Send/receive test emails in Thunderbird
  • Open and edit documents in all Office applications
  • Check that all personal files transferred correctly
  • Test printer and other peripherals

Phase 6: Final Steps (Day 3-4)

✅ Additional Software

  • Install other needed programs from original sources
  • Restore any specialized software settings
  • Set up cloud storage sync (OneDrive, Google Drive, etc.)
  • Configure automatic backups

✅ Old Computer Management

  • DO NOT wipe old computer yet
  • Keep functional for 1-2 weeks as backup
  • Deactivate Office license from old computer
  • After confirming everything works: Proceed to Ubuntu conversion

✅ Documentation

  • Document any custom settings discovered
  • Save product keys in secure location
  • Create notes for future reference
  • Update any online accounts with new computer info

Phase 7: Ubuntu Linux Conversion (Paths A & B Only)

Skip this phase if you chose Path C (both systems stay Windows 11)

✅ Pre-Conversion Decision

  • Path A users: Confirmed Windows 10 → Ubuntu conversion
  • Path B users: Choose to convert Windows 11 → Ubuntu or keep Windows 11
  • Create final backup of any remaining files from old laptop
  • If keeping Windows 11: Skip to final cleanup steps

✅ Ubuntu Preparation

✅ Hardware Compatibility Check

  • Test WiFi chip compatibility (may need additional drivers)
  • Check graphics card support (Intel/AMD usually fine, NVIDIA may need drivers)
  • Verify Bluetooth functionality requirements
  • Check printer compatibility if planning to use with Linux
  • Note any special function keys or hardware features

✅ Installation Process

  • Boot from Ubuntu USB drive
  • Choose "Try Ubuntu" first to test hardware compatibility
  • Test WiFi, audio, graphics, and other hardware functions
  • If all works well, restart and choose "Install Ubuntu"
  • Select "Erase disk and install Ubuntu" (full replacement)
  • Create user account and set strong password
  • Complete installation and remove USB drive

✅ Post-Installation Setup

  • Run initial system updates: sudo apt update && sudo apt upgrade
  • Install restricted multimedia codecs if prompted
  • Install additional drivers via "Additional Drivers" app
  • Configure WiFi and network settings
  • Set up printer if needed

✅ Essential Software Installation

Browser:

  • Firefox (pre-installed) or install Chrome/Chromium
  • Install uBlock Origin extension

Office Suite Options:

  • LibreOffice (pre-installed) - free MS Office alternative
  • OnlyOffice (better MS Office compatibility)
  • WPS Office (commercial, closest to MS Office)

Email Client:

  • Thunderbird: sudo apt install thunderbird
  • Or use web-based email clients

Password Manager:

  • RoboForm has Linux version available
  • Alternative: Bitwarden (excellent open-source option)
  • KeePassXC (offline password manager)

Additional Useful Software:

  • VLC media player: sudo apt install vlc
  • GIMP image editor: sudo apt install gimp
  • Timeshift (system backup): sudo apt install timeshift
  • Synaptic Package Manager: sudo apt install synaptic

✅ Data Migration to Ubuntu

  • Transfer any remaining personal files via USB drive
  • Set up cloud storage sync (OneDrive via web, Google Drive, Dropbox)
  • Configure email accounts in Thunderbird
  • Import bookmarks and passwords
  • Test document compatibility with LibreOffice

✅ System Configuration

  • Set up automatic updates or configure update preferences
  • Configure Timeshift for regular system snapshots
  • Customize desktop environment to your preferences
  • Set up firewall: sudo ufw enable
  • Configure power management settings

✅ Learning Resources


Emergency Contacts & Resources

If Problems Arise:

Key Tools Needed:

  • External USB drive (minimum 32GB recommended)
  • ProduKey tool for finding Office key
  • Patience and time (don't rush the process)

⚠️ Important Reminders

  • Test everything before wiping old computer
  • Keep old computer functional until 100% confident
  • Don't install McAfee - Windows Defender is sufficient
  • Save all product keys in secure location
  • Take breaks - rushing leads to mistakes

Estimated Total Time: 6-10 hours over 3-4 days


Ubuntu Conversion Notes

Why Ubuntu 24.04 LTS?

  • Long Term Support (5 years of updates through 2029)
  • Most stable and well-supported version
  • Best hardware compatibility
  • Extensive software repository
  • Perfect for hardware with or without Windows 11 bypass

Path Decision Impact:

  • Path A (Win10→Ubuntu): Clean transition, Ubuntu optimized for older hardware
  • Path B (Win11→Ubuntu): Experience latest Windows first, then get Ubuntu benefits
  • Path C (Both Win11): Keep familiar environment but accept TPM security limitations

Windows 11 Bypass Considerations:

  • Security Trade-offs: Missing TPM 2.0 means reduced security features (BitLocker, Windows Hello disabled)
  • Update Uncertainty: No guarantee that bypassed systems receive all future updates
  • Performance: Windows 11 may run slower than Ubuntu on older hardware

Benefits of Ubuntu Conversion:

  • Completely free operating system with no licensing concerns
  • Enhanced security and privacy (no Windows 10 end-of-support concerns)
  • Excellent performance on older hardware (often faster than Windows 11)
  • Large community support and regular security updates through 2029
  • Extends usable life regardless of Windows 11 compatibility issues

MS Office Alternatives Comparison:

  • LibreOffice: Free, good compatibility, some formatting differences
  • OnlyOffice: Better MS Office compatibility, free version available
  • WPS Office: Commercial, closest to MS Office interface
  • Web versions: Use Office 365 online in browser

Final Recommendation: Even if you can bypass TPM 2.0 requirements, Ubuntu conversion still provides the best long-term value for older hardware—better performance, stronger security, and no licensing headaches.


Sources and References

  1. Microsoft Windows 11 System Requirements. Microsoft Corporation. Accessed September 2025. https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/windows-11-specifications
  2. Windows 10 End of Support Information. Microsoft Corporation. Accessed September 2025. https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/windows-10-update-history-24ea91f4-36e7-d8fd-0ddb-d79d9d0cdbda
  3. How to Bypass Windows 11's TPM, CPU and RAM Requirements. Tom's Hardware. July 18, 2022. https://www.tomshardware.com/how-to/bypass-windows-11-tpm-requirement
  4. How to Bypass the Windows 11 TPM 2.0 Requirement. BleepingComputer. July 2, 2021. https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/microsoft/how-to-bypass-the-windows-11-tpm-20-requirement/
  5. How To Bypass TPM 2.0 Requirements for Windows 11 Using Regedit. Medium. February 8, 2025. https://medium.com/@thatCleverNerd/how-to-bypass-tpm-requirements-for-windows-11-using-regedit-steam-deck-2c55b697a87b
  6. Install Windows 11 Without Secure Boot on an Unsupported Old Laptop. Microsoft Q&A Community. Accessed September 2025. https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/answers/questions/2121461/install-windows-11-without-secure-boot-on-an-unsup
  7. Ubuntu 24.04 LTS Desktop Download. Canonical Ltd. Accessed September 2025. https://ubuntu.com/download/desktop
  8. Ubuntu Certified Hardware Database. Canonical Ltd. Accessed September 2025. https://ubuntu.com/certified
  9. ProduKey - Recover Lost Product Key. NirSoft. Accessed September 2025. https://www.nirsoft.net/utils/product_cd_key_viewer.html
  10. Rufus - Create Bootable USB Drives. Pete Batard. Accessed September 2025. https://rufus.ie/
  11. Balena Etcher - Flash OS Images to SD Cards & USB Drives. Balena Inc. Accessed September 2025. https://balena.io/etcher/
  12. Microsoft Office Download and Installation. Microsoft Corporation. Accessed September 2025. https://office.com
  13. Windows Defender Security Intelligence. Microsoft Corporation. Accessed September 2025. https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/stay-protected-with-windows-security-2ae0363d-0ada-c064-8b56-6a39afb6a963
  14. Firefox Support Documentation. Mozilla Foundation. Accessed September 2025. https://support.mozilla.org
  15. Thunderbird Support Documentation. Mozilla Foundation. Accessed September 2025. https://support.mozilla.org/products/thunderbird
  16. RoboForm Password Manager Support. Siber Systems Inc. Accessed September 2025. https://roboform.com/support
  17. Ubuntu Documentation and Help. Canonical Ltd. Accessed September 2025. https://help.ubuntu.com
  18. Ubuntu Community Forums. Canonical Ltd. Accessed September 2025. https://discourse.ubuntu.com


Friday, September 19, 2025

60 Years of Bond: The Financial Empire That Survived Everything Except Amazon


Amazon Takes Control of 007 as Historic Financial Analysis Reveals Franchise's Incredible Staying Power

March 25, 2025 - The James Bond franchise has officially entered a new era after Amazon MGM Studios gained creative control from longtime producers Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson, marking the end of an unprecedented 60-year run that saw only one film lose money across 25 official releases.

The historic transition, finalized through a joint venture deal reportedly worth over $1 billion, comes as comprehensive financial analysis reveals the remarkable consistency of cinema's most enduring spy franchise - one that survived six decades, five global recessions, three near-deaths, and a literal pandemic before ultimately succumbing to corporate streaming ambitions.

Financial Dominance Across Six Decades

Return on Investment Champions

When ranked by Return on Investment (ROI), the early Bond films dominate with figures that modern blockbusters can only dream of:

Top 10 Bond Films by ROI:

  1. Dr. No (1962) - 5,309% ROI ($1M budget, $60M worldwide)
  2. Goldfinger (1964) - 4,063% ROI ($3M budget, $125M worldwide)
  3. From Russia with Love (1963) - 3,845% ROI ($2M budget, $78M worldwide)
  4. Thunderball (1965) - 1,976% ROI ($9M budget, $141M worldwide)
  5. Live and Let Die (1973) - 1,706% ROI ($7M budget, $162M worldwide)
  6. Diamonds Are Forever (1971) - 1,511% ROI ($7M budget, $116M worldwide)
  7. The Man with the Golden Gun (1974) - 1,307% ROI ($7M budget, $98M worldwide)
  8. The Spy Who Loved Me (1977) - 1,224% ROI ($13.5M budget, $185M worldwide)
  9. You Only Live Twice (1967) - 881% ROI ($9.5M budget, $111M worldwide)
  10. On Her Majesty's Secret Service (1969) - 823% ROI ($7M budget, $82M worldwide)

The most recent films rank significantly lower, with modern entries suffering from ballooning budgets. No Time to Die (2021) holds the distinction of being the franchise's only financial loss, failing to break even on its combined $350+ million production and marketing costs despite earning $774 million worldwide.

The Actors' Financial Legacy

By Total Worldwide Gross (Inflation-Adjusted to 2025 dollars):

Sean Connery Era (1962-1967, 1971)

  • 6 films, $4.2 billion total (inflation-adjusted)
  • Average per film: $700 million
  • Highest ROI period in franchise history

Roger Moore Era (1973-1985)

  • 7 films, $4.8 billion total (inflation-adjusted)
  • Average per film: $686 million
  • Most consistent commercial performer

Daniel Craig Era (2006-2021)

  • 5 films, $3.7 billion total (inflation-adjusted)
  • Average per film: $740 million
  • Highest individual film gross: Skyfall ($1.1 billion)

Pierce Brosnan Era (1995-2002)

  • 4 films, $2.1 billion total (inflation-adjusted)
  • Average per film: $525 million
  • Successful franchise revival after 6-year gap

Timothy Dalton Era (1987-1989)

  • 2 films, $747 million total (inflation-adjusted)
  • Average per film: $374 million
  • Lowest gross but highest critical rehabilitation

George Lazenby Era (1969)

  • 1 film, $705 million (inflation-adjusted)
  • Strong performance despite behind-the-scenes turmoil

Directors' Track Record

Most Successful Bond Directors by Combined Box Office:

  1. Guy Hamilton (4 films: Goldfinger, Diamonds Are Forever, Live and Let Die, The Man with the Golden Gun)
    • Combined gross: $486 million (original), $2.8 billion (inflation-adjusted)
    • Average Rotten Tomatoes score: 65%
  2. Terence Young (3 films: Dr. No, From Russia with Love, Thunderball)
    • Combined gross: $279 million (original), $2.7 billion (inflation-adjusted)
    • Average Rotten Tomatoes score: 89%
  3. Lewis Gilbert (3 films: You Only Live Twice, The Spy Who Loved Me, Moonraker)
    • Combined gross: $506 million (original), $2.5 billion (inflation-adjusted)
    • Average Rotten Tomatoes score: 71%
  4. Sam Mendes (2 films: Skyfall, Spectre)
    • Combined gross: $2 billion (original)
    • Average Rotten Tomatoes score: 75%
  5. Martin Campbell (2 films: GoldenEye, Casino Royale)
    • Combined gross: $950 million (original)
    • Average Rotten Tomatoes score: 88%

Critical Reception Analysis

Rotten Tomatoes Rankings (Top 10):

  1. Goldfinger (1964) - 99% (Certified Fresh)
  2. From Russia with Love (1963) - 97% (Certified Fresh)
  3. Dr. No (1962) - 96% (Certified Fresh)
  4. Casino Royale (2006) - 94% (Certified Fresh)
  5. Skyfall (2012) - 92% (Certified Fresh)
  6. Thunderball (1965) - 87% (Certified Fresh)
  7. No Time to Die (2021) - 83% (Certified Fresh)
  8. For Your Eyes Only (1981) - 74% (Fresh)
  9. GoldenEye (1995) - 78% (Certified Fresh)
  10. The Spy Who Loved Me (1977) - 77% (Certified Fresh)

Bottom 5 by Critical Reception:

  1. Casino Royale (1967) - 26% (Rotten) *Non-Eon production
  2. A View to a Kill (1985) - 37% (Rotten)
  3. The Man with the Golden Gun (1974) - 42% (Rotten)
  4. Octopussy (1983) - 43% (Rotten)
  5. Moonraker (1979) - 64% (Fresh)

The Amazon Era Begins

The transfer of creative control marks the most significant change in Bond's 62-year history. Amazon MGM Studios paid approximately $1 billion beyond their original $8.5 billion MGM acquisition to secure full creative oversight from the Broccoli family, who had maintained iron-clad control since the 1960s.

Key Changes Under Amazon:

  • New Producers: Amy Pascal and David Heyman replace Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson
  • Director: Denis Villeneuve announced for Bond 26 (June 2025)
  • Writer: Steven Knight confirmed for screenplay (July 2025)
  • Timeline: Early development began April 2025, production expected 2026

The transition wasn't without drama. Reports indicate Broccoli called Amazon executives "f***ing idiots" and resisted their "content" approach to the franchise. Her concerns centered on Amazon's desire to expand Bond into a Marvel-style interconnected universe across streaming platforms.

Franchise Future and Challenges

Amazon faces the challenge of maintaining Bond's cinematic legacy while justifying their massive investment. The franchise has historically thrived on careful curation - producing 25 films over 60 years compared to Marvel's 33 films in just 15 years.

Financial Pressures:

  • Modern Bond budgets now exceed $200-300 million
  • Marketing costs often match production budgets
  • Streaming economics differ from theatrical exclusivity
  • Need to recoup $9.5+ billion total investment

Creative Challenges:

  • Maintaining quality without Broccoli's oversight
  • Balancing streaming expansion with cinematic tradition
  • Finding new Bond actor post-Craig
  • Competing in oversaturated superhero market

Historical Context: The Resilient Franchise

The Bond series has weathered remarkable challenges:

  • Legal battles: Thunderball lawsuit lasted until 2013
  • Actor departures: Connery, Lazenby, Moore, Dalton, Brosnan all left under different circumstances
  • Industry changes: From 1960s spy craze to modern superhero dominance
  • Global events: Cold War, 9/11, financial crises, COVID-19 pandemic

Only No Time to Die represents a true financial failure, losing money due to pandemic delays and inflated costs. Even franchise low points like A View to a Kill and The Man with the Golden Gun remained profitable.

Conclusion: The End of an Era

As Amazon takes the wheel, the Bond franchise stands at a crossroads between preservation and innovation. The Broccoli family's stewardship delivered unparalleled consistency - 24 profitable films across six decades, multiple cultural icons, and a formula that survived changing times.

Whether Amazon can maintain this track record while expanding the universe remains to be seen. The early signs suggest a return to Bond's roots with prestigious talent like Villeneuve and Knight, but the streaming giant's ultimate vision for 007 will determine if the franchise continues its remarkable financial legacy or becomes another casualty of corporate overextension.

The numbers tell the story: James Bond has been cinema's most financially reliable character for 60 years. Amazon's $10+ billion bet suggests they believe that reliability will continue - but as the franchise enters uncharted waters, only time will tell if 007 can maintain his license to print money.


Sources and Citations

  1. Box Office Mojo - James Bond Franchise Box Office Data
  2. The Numbers - Complete James Bond Financial Records
  3. Rotten Tomatoes - All 27 James Bond Movies Ranked by Tomatometer
  4. MI6 Community - Bond Movies By Return On Investment Analysis
  5. The James Bond Dossier - Box Office Figures Analysis (Updated November 2024)
  6. Amazon MGM Studios - Official Joint Venture Announcement (March 25, 2025)
  7. The Hollywood Reporter - "James Bond Shake-Up: Amazon Takes Creative Control" (February 20, 2025)
  8. Variety - "James Bond Shocker: Amazon MGM Gains Creative Control" (February 20, 2025)
  9. Deadline - "Amazon MGM Studios Shelled Out An Extra $1 Billion-Plus To Take Control Of James Bond" (February 21, 2025)
  10. Fortune - "Amazon clinches creative control of the James Bond franchise" (February 20, 2025)

URLs:

Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Legendary submarine commander Charlie MacVean dies in San Diego at 88 – San Diego Union-Tribune


In Memoriam: Captain Charles R. MacVean, USN (Ret.)

The Silent Warrior Who Led with Humanity and Humor

Proceedings Staff | September 2025

Captain Charles Robert MacVean, USN (Ret.), commanding officer of USS Seawolf (SSN-575) during some of the Cold War's most perilous submarine espionage operations, died of natural causes in San Diego on 10 September 2025. He was 88.

There was something about Commander Charlie MacVean that inspired legend even among the Silent Service's most storied warriors. It wasn't his appearance—tall, chunky, crowned by thinning gray hair in his late thirties. Rather, it was his remarkable combination of unflappable composure, dry humor, and profound humanity that set him apart from the stereotypical submarine commander of his era.

As the authors of Blind Man's Bluff so memorably captured: "This was a man who could stand beneath a hatch after being doused with a column of water, dead-pan and still chewing his dripping pipe." More significantly, "This was also the man who had just led the nuclear attack submarine USS Seawolf on one of the most dangerous operations of the Cold War. She had slipped inside a Soviet sea and eavesdropped on the enemy in a way most other subs could never dare."

Early Life and Naval Academy Years

Born 22 March 1937 in Paterson, New Jersey, to Homer (a mortgage broker) and Jane MacVean (a homemaker), Charlie's path to submarine warfare began at Dartmouth College, where he enrolled as a Navy ROTC student in 1955. By his own cheerful admission, MacVean caused the college administration some headaches, landing on the school's police blotter as a member of Alpha Delta Phi—the very fraternity that would later inspire the raucous film Animal House. Despite his extracurricular adventures, he graduated summa cum laude in 1959, the same year he married his high school sweetheart, Ellen Wollemann, whom he had met when they were both juniors in 1954.

MacVean's academic prowess led him to Cornell University, where he earned a doctorate in nuclear science and engineering—the perfect credentials for Admiral Hyman G. Rickover's expanding nuclear submarine program. The timing was fortuitous; Rickover was actively seeking talented officers to man his revolutionary nuclear fleet, and MacVean's combination of technical expertise and natural leadership made him an ideal candidate.

Rising Through the Ranks

MacVean's submarine career began during the height of Cold War tensions, when American submarines were conducting some of the most classified and dangerous missions in naval history. He served with distinction aboard several boats, eventually becoming executive officer of USS Parche (SSN-683), which would later earn fame for its cable-tapping missions and recovery of Soviet missile fragments.

His performance aboard Parche caught the attention of senior leadership, leading to his appointment as commanding officer of USS Seawolf (SSN-575) in 1975. The Seawolf was no ordinary submarine—she was America's second nuclear-powered submarine, equipped with an experimental sodium-cooled reactor that proved both revolutionary and problematic. MacVean would need every ounce of his engineering expertise and leadership skills to manage both the boat's temperamental nuclear plant and her highly classified missions.

Operation Ivy Bells and the Art of Submarine Espionage

Under MacVean's command from 1975 to 1978, USS Seawolf participated in Operation Ivy Bells, one of the most audacious intelligence operations of the Cold War. This joint CIA-Navy-NSA mission involved placing sophisticated wiretaps on Soviet underwater communications cables in the Sea of Okhotsk, deep within Soviet territorial waters. The operation required Seawolf to surface near the ocean floor at depths of 400 feet while Navy saturation divers, breathing experimental gas mixtures, worked in near-freezing darkness to install and service massive recording devices on Soviet communication cables.

The intelligence gathered from these taps was invaluable, providing unencrypted Soviet naval communications about Pacific Fleet operations, ballistic missile submarine activities, and strategic nuclear capabilities. The information proved crucial during SALT II negotiations, giving American diplomats unprecedented insight into Soviet fears and intentions.

MacVean's leadership during these missions was exemplary. On one particularly harrowing operation, Seawolf became mired on the ocean floor for nearly two days during a storm, with Soviet ships potentially nearby. The crew faced the real possibility of having to use the boat's self-destruct charges rather than risk capture. MacVean's calm demeanor and engineering expertise proved crucial in working the boat free while maintaining the crew's morale and operational security.

Record-Breaking Endurance

In 1976, MacVean achieved a Navy record that demonstrated both Seawolf's capabilities and his crew's exceptional training and discipline. He kept Seawolf submerged for 89 consecutive days—a remarkable achievement that showcased not only the boat's nuclear endurance but also the crew's ability to function effectively in the confined, stressful environment of a submerged submarine for nearly three months.

This record deployment likely occurred during one of Seawolf's Ivy Bells missions, requiring the boat to remain undetected in Soviet waters for extended periods while conducting intelligence gathering operations. The achievement stands as a testament to MacVean's leadership and his crew's professionalism under extraordinary circumstances.

The Human Side of Command

What distinguished MacVean from many of his contemporaries was his profoundly human approach to command. John Freeman, who co-authored MacVean's biography Down Deep, described him as "one of the most extraordinary people I've ever met. He was so kind and understanding and empathetic—so different than the Capt. Blighs that used to dominate the Navy."

This humanity manifested itself in memorable ways. When one of his sailors, emboldened by alcohol and classified knowledge, attempted to call the White House from a phone booth outside the Horse and Cow tavern in Vallejo—the legendary submarine haunt—MacVean personally drove to retrieve the man. Instead of disciplinary action, the captain bought his sailor a beer, understanding that the stress of classified operations could affect even the most professional sailors in unexpected ways.

Relationship with Admiral Rickover

MacVean's stewardship of Seawolf brought him into regular contact with Admiral Rickover, the formidable father of the nuclear Navy known for his abrasive personality and uncompromising standards. Ellen MacVean recalled heated telephone exchanges between her husband and Rickover, particularly regarding the Seawolf's troublesome sodium-cooled reactor. "Rickover was yelling at Charlie about something involving his sub's reactor," she remembered. "He wanted things done his way. But they got it worked out. They actually had a good relationship. He liked Charlie."

This relationship speaks to MacVean's character—few officers managed to maintain Rickover's respect while also earning the affection of their crews, yet MacVean somehow bridged that difficult gap between technical excellence and human compassion.

Final Commands and Retirement

MacVean's exceptional performance as commanding officer of Seawolf led to his final promotion in 1978 to commander of Submarine Development Group ONE in San Diego. This specialized command conducted deep-ocean search, location, and recovery work—missions that remained largely classified but were crucial to America's underwater warfare capabilities during the final decade of the Cold War.

He retired from the Navy in 1981 after a distinguished career that earned him two Distinguished Service Medals for meritorious service, along with numerous other decorations that remain classified to this day. His crews remembered him not as a martinet but as a leader they never wanted to disappoint—the hallmark of truly exceptional command presence.

Life After the Navy

Following his retirement, MacVean settled in Point Loma, California, where he lived for nearly 50 years. He remained active in veteran organizations and eventually worked with biographer John Freeman on Down Deep, a memoir that captured his extraordinary career while maintaining appropriate operational security about classified missions.

True to the traditions of the Silent Service, MacVean rarely spoke publicly about his wartime experiences. The specific details of most of his submarine operations remain classified, and as a member of the Silent Service, he avoided discussing what he had done, even with family members.

The Ballad of Whitey Mack

In the submarine community, legendary commanders are sometimes honored in verse. Tommy Cox, a submariner and intelligence specialist, penned "The Ballad of Whitey Mack," which included the prophetic lines: "And every man on board knew, When the going got rough, In this game of 'Blind Man's Bluff,' Somehow he'd pull her through."

These words could have been written about Charlie MacVean, who embodied the very best of submarine leadership during one of the most dangerous periods in naval history.

Legacy and Recognition

MacVean's contributions to submarine warfare and intelligence operations cannot be fully measured in the public record—too much remains properly classified. However, his influence on submarine tactics, crew training, and operational procedures during the Cold War was profound. The techniques developed and refined during his command of Seawolf influenced a generation of submarine operations.

Perhaps more importantly, MacVean demonstrated that exceptional military leadership need not require sacrificing one's humanity. His crews served with distinction not out of fear, but out of respect and genuine affection for their commander. In an era when submarine captains were often viewed as aloof and intimidating figures, MacVean proved that empathy and humor could coexist with operational excellence and tactical brilliance.

Personal Remembrance

Captain MacVean is survived by his wife Ellen and two children: Amy Perez of La Habra Heights, California, and David MacVean of Southport, North Carolina. A third child, Lynne MacVean, predeceased him in February 2025.

Those who served with MacVean remember not just a commanding officer, but a mentor who shaped their understanding of leadership and service. Former crew members describe him as someone who "didn't act like a commander" but rather "conveyed an aura of calm reassurance"—the kind of leader who inspired excellence through example rather than intimidation.

The Silent Service Remembers

The submarine community has lost one of its most distinguished leaders, but Charlie MacVean's influence will continue through the officers and sailors he mentored, the operational procedures he developed, and the standard of humane leadership he established. In the dangerous game of "blind man's bluff" that defined Cold War submarine operations, MacVean proved that the best commanders lead not just with skill and courage, but with compassion and humor.

As the submarine community bids farewell to Captain MacVean, we remember not only his operational achievements—which must remain largely unspoken—but his demonstration that strength and kindness, professionalism and humanity, tactical brilliance and personal warmth can coexist in a single remarkable leader.

The Silent Service has lost a legend, but the Navy has gained an eternal example of leadership at its finest.

Fair winds and following seas, Captain MacVean. Well done.


Sources:

  1. Robbins, Gary. "Legendary submarine commander Charlie MacVean dies in San Diego at 88." San Diego Union-Tribune, 16 September 2025. https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/2025/09/16/legendary-submarine-commander-charlie-macvean-dies-in-san-diego-at-88/
  2. Sontag, Sherry, Christopher Drew, and Annette Lawrence Drew. Blind Man's Bluff: The Untold Story of American Submarine Espionage. New York: PublicAffairs, 1998.
  3. Freeman, John, and C. Gresham Bayne, eds. Down Deep: Captain Charles R. MacVean, U.S. Navy (Ret.), PhD: Courage - Leadership - Hijinks. 2019.
  4. "Operation Ivy Bells." Wikipedia. Last modified 15 June 2025. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Ivy_Bells
  5. Naval History and Heritage Command. "USS Seawolf (SSN-575)." https://www.history.navy.mil/
  6. "The Mission Behind Operation Ivy Bells and How It Was Discovered." Military.com, 29 June 2022. https://www.military.com/history/operation-ivy-bells.html
  7. "National History Day Winner 2021 Operation Ivy Bells." Naval Order. https://www.navalorder.org/national-history-day-winner-2021-operation-ivy-bells
  8. United States Navy Memorial. "MacVean-Charles." Navy Log. https://navylog.navymemorial.org/macvean-charles
  9. HI Sutton. "Spy Sub - USS Seawolf (SSN-575)." http://www.hisutton.com/Spy%20Sub%20-%20USS%20Seawolf%20(SSN-575).html
  10. "Malicious Life Podcast: Operation Ivy Bells." Cybereason Blog. https://www.cybereason.com/blog/malicious-life-podcast-operation-ivy-bells
  11. Legendary submarine commander Charlie MacVean dies in San Diego at 88 – San Diego Union-Tribune

Monday, September 15, 2025

The Navy Officer Ladder


So You Wanted to Be a Navy Officer… Big Mistake - YouTube

Fantasy vs. Reality (The Complete Hierarchy)

So you think being a Navy officer is all about commanding ships, sipping coffee on the bridge, and shouting "full speed ahead" like you're in a Hollywood blockbuster? Well, let's compare what the Navy officially says these ranks do versus what actually happens when you pin on those shiny new insignia – plus the brutal politics of promotion boards and the forgotten warriors of the warrant officer community.

From the mysterious warrant officers who actually know how everything works, to the bottom rung ensign who looks like a lost intern, to the admirals who spend more time in meetings than on the ocean, every officer rank comes with its own special mix of responsibility, confusion, guaranteed embarrassment, and surprisingly cutthroat promotion politics.

Let's examine what the Navy's official descriptions promise versus the comedy that unfolds in reality – with the cold, hard numbers and the backroom politics that actually determine who climbs the ladder.

The Forgotten Warriors: Warrant Officers (W-2 through W-5)

Before we dive into the commissioned officer circus, let's talk about the Navy's best-kept secret: warrant officers. These are the technical wizards who actually keep the Navy running while everyone else is playing politics.

W-2: Chief Warrant Officer 2 (CWO2) - The Technical Savant

Official Navy Description: "Technical specialists appointed from the most experienced and technically proficient petty officers. They provide technical leadership and expertise in their specialty areas."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $4,791.90/month ($57,503/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$68,000-85,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: CWO2s are the people who actually know how to fix things when they break. While ensigns are trying to figure out which end of the ship goes forward, warrant officers are quietly solving problems that would stump half the wardroom. They're technical specialists who've been promoted from the enlisted ranks because they're simply too valuable to lose to retirement or civilian jobs.

Selection Process:

  • Official: Competitive selection from senior petty officers with demonstrated technical expertise and leadership potential
  • Reality: You need to be the person everyone calls when stuff breaks, have the respect of both enlisted and officers, and convince a board that you're more valuable as a warrant than as a senior enlisted sailor

W-3: Chief Warrant Officer 3 (CWO3) - The Subject Matter Expert

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $5,278.50/month ($63,342/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$75,000-92,000/year

Reality Check: By CWO3, you're the person junior officers whisper questions to when they don't want to look stupid in front of their boss. You're earning more than many lieutenants while actually knowing what you're doing.

W-4: Chief Warrant Officer 4 (CWO4) - The Gray-Haired Wizard

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $5,830.80/month ($69,970/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$82,000-100,000/year

W-5: Chief Warrant Officer 5 (CWO5) - The Legend

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $8,296.20/month ($99,554/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$115,000-135,000/year

Reality Check: CWO5s are unicorns – senior warrant officers who've reached the top of their technical field and command respect from admirals. They're making captain-level money while actually knowing how to fix things.

The Warrant Officer Paradox: These officers have the most practical knowledge, often earn more than the commissioned officers they advise, and are absolutely critical to operations – yet they're largely invisible in the Navy's promotional materials and completely absent from most discussions of "officer career paths."


Now, on to the commissioned officer circus, where politics matter more than competence and promotion boards determine your fate...

O-1: Ensign (ENS) - The Golden Guinea Pig

Official Navy Description: "The most junior commissioned officer rank in the U.S. Navy. Ensigns serve as division officers and are responsible for leading and managing enlisted personnel while learning leadership and naval warfare skills."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $3,826.20/month ($45,914/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$55,000-70,000/year depending on location
  • Benefits: Full medical/dental, 30 days leave, commissary privileges

Reality Check: Welcome to the Navy Officer Club! You're an ensign now, which means two things: you've got a shiny gold stripe on your sleeve and absolutely no idea what you're doing. That official description about "leading and managing enlisted personnel" is adorable – you'll be lucky if you can manage to find the head without getting lost, and you're making less money than the warrant officers who are quietly fixing your mistakes.

Promotion to LTJG:

  • Official Process: Automatic promotion after 18-24 months with satisfactory performance
  • Political Reality: This is the only "gimme" promotion in your career. Don't assault anyone, don't sink anything expensive, don't call the captain "dude," and you'll get promoted. The Navy invested too much in your training to let you fail here.
  • Selection Rate: ~98% (you'd have to work hard to fail this one)

Think of ensign as the Navy's polite way of saying, "Here's your gold stripe and $45K. Try not to embarrass us."

O-2: Lieutenant Junior Grade (LTJG) - The Awkward Middle Child

Official Navy Description: "Junior officers who typically serve as assistant department heads, division officers, or in specialized roles. They have gained initial experience and are developing their leadership capabilities."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $4,413.00/month ($52,956/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$62,000-78,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: You've earned yourself a slightly thicker stripe, a $7K pay bump, and the unofficial nickname "Lieutenant Just Got Here." You're still making less than a senior warrant officer, but hey, at least you have that college degree!

Promotion to Lieutenant:

  • Official Process: Promotion board review after 2 years time in grade
  • Political Reality: Still mostly automatic if you haven't screwed up majorly. The board is looking for basic competence and whether you've completed your surface warfare qualification (or aviation/submarine equivalent). Having a good relationship with your department head and XO helps.
  • Selection Rate: ~95% (still hard to fail, but possible)
  • Board Politics: Your fitness reports matter now. A single "fair" instead of "good" can derail you.

O-3: Lieutenant (LT) - Middle Management Mayhem

Official Navy Description: "Experienced junior officers who serve as department heads on smaller ships, division officers on larger vessels, or in command of smaller units. They are expected to demonstrate strong leadership and technical competence."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $5,111.40/month ($61,337/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$72,000-88,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: You're the Navy's middle management, earning $61K to juggle sailors' problems and endless admin work. The good news? You're finally making more than most warrant officers. The bad news? They still know more than you do.

Promotion to Lieutenant Commander:

  • Official Process: Highly competitive selection board after 3-4 years time in grade
  • Political Reality: This is where the games begin. You need strong fitness reports, successful completion of department head tour, and the right kind of mentor. Your commanding officer's endorsement carries huge weight.
  • Selection Rate: ~80% (the first real cut)
  • Board Politics:
    • Timing matters: Early promotes get the best jobs
    • Warfare qualification essential: No SWO pin? No promotion
    • Geographic assignment politics: Some ships/commands are promotion killers
    • The "golden path" emerges: Certain career tracks (destroyer department head, carrier air wing, etc.) are heavily favored

O-4: Lieutenant Commander (LCDR) - The Career Crossroads

Official Navy Description: "Senior officers who typically serve as executive officers on smaller ships, department heads on larger vessels, or commanding officers of smaller units. They are considered experienced leaders ready for significant operational responsibility."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $5,951.40/month ($71,417/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$82,000-98,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: Welcome to "the career gate." This is where the Navy decides if you're command material or if you'll be quietly shuffled toward retirement. You're making decent money, but the stress is starting to match the paycheck.

Promotion to Commander:

  • Official Process: Extremely competitive selection board after 3-4 years time in grade
  • Political Reality: This is where politics become everything. You need:
    • The right mentor: A senior captain or admiral who knows your name
    • The right jobs: XO tours on "right" ships, major staff assignments
    • The right timing: Promotion board composition changes yearly
    • No black marks: One bad fitness report can end your career
  • Selection Rate: ~70% (welcome to the real competition)
  • Board Politics:
    • The "deep select" game: Some officers get promoted early (great career boost) vs. others barely make it (career limiting)
    • Community politics: Surface warfare vs. aviation vs. submarines compete for slots
    • Congressional influence: Flag officers on boards have their own agendas
    • The "golden path" narrows: Only specific career tracks lead to command

O-5: Commander (CDR) - Real Power, Real Politics

Official Navy Description: "Senior officers who command destroyers, submarines, aviation squadrons, or serve as executive officers on major combatant ships. They are responsible for the operational readiness and effectiveness of their commands."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $6,931.50/month ($83,178/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$94,000-115,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: You're finally the boss of something significant, earning $83K to match. But with great power comes great paranoia – one mistake ends careers at this level.

Promotion to Captain:

  • Official Process: Ultra-competitive selection board after 3-4 years time in grade
  • Political Reality: This is where careers go to die. You need:
    • Flawless command tour: Zero incidents, high readiness scores, happy crew
    • Joint experience: Pentagon or combatant command staff time
    • Advanced education: War college or equivalent
    • Powerful sponsors: Flag officers who will advocate for you
  • Selection Rate: ~50% (half of all commanders will never see captain)
  • Board Politics:
    • The "below zone/in zone/above zone" game: Being selected early is career gold; being passed over twice means forced retirement
    • Community quotas: Each warfare community gets specific numbers of promotions
    • Political appointments: Some slots go to officers with congressional connections
    • The "joint mafia": Officers with joint experience have significant advantages
    • Regional politics: Pacific Fleet vs. Atlantic Fleet competitions for slots

O-6: Captain (CAPT) - The Political Sea Lords

Official Navy Description: "Senior officers who command major combatant ships such as cruisers and aircraft carriers, or serve as commanding officers of major shore installations. They are responsible for the overall operational effectiveness of large, complex organizations."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $8,422.80/month ($101,074/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$115,000-135,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: You've made it to the $100K club! You're commanding floating cities or major installations, but you're also living in constant terror of the headline that ends your career.

Promotion to Rear Admiral (Lower Half):

  • Official Process: The most competitive selection board in the Navy
  • Political Reality: This is pure politics. You need:
    • Perfect command tour: Major command (carrier, cruiser, major shore command) with zero negative press
    • Washington experience: Pentagon senior staff, Navy staff, or joint staff
    • Advanced joint education: Often multiple degrees and fellowships
    • Political connections: Relationships with civilian leadership
    • Media management: Ability to handle congressional testimony and press
  • Selection Rate: <5% (fewer than 1 in 20 captains make flag rank)
  • Board Politics:
    • The "Golden 20": Roughly 20-25 captains get selected for admiral each year Navy-wide
    • Community politics intensify: Surface, aviation, submarine, and special operations compete for limited slots
    • Civilian oversight: Secretary of the Navy and civilian leadership heavily influence selections
    • Congressional politics: Some selections are essentially political appointments
    • The "diversity mandate": Modern boards consider demographics alongside performance
    • Risk aversion: Any hint of controversy disqualifies candidates

O-7: Rear Admiral (Lower Half) (RDML) - Baby Admiral Politics

Official Navy Description: "Flag officers who typically command task forces, serve as major staff officers, or lead specialized warfare communities. They are responsible for strategic planning and execution of naval operations across multiple commands."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $10,399.50/month ($124,794/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$140,000-165,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: Welcome to flag rank, where you're making corporate executive money but every decision gets scrutinized by Congress, the media, and your boss's boss's boss. That "Lower Half" designation still stings, but the six-figure salary helps.

Promotion to Rear Admiral (Upper Half):

  • Official Process: Senior flag selection board review
  • Political Reality: You're now playing in the big leagues where:
    • Performance matters less than perception: Headlines can kill careers instantly
    • Civilian relationships crucial: Defense contractors, congressional staff, think tanks all matter
    • Media training essential: Every public appearance is career-affecting
    • Inter-service politics: You're competing with Army and Air Force generals for attention and resources
  • Selection Rate: ~70% of lower half admirals make upper half
  • Board Politics:
    • The "joint requirement": Must have significant joint experience
    • Geographic politics: Pacific vs. Atlantic commands compete for prestige
    • Specialty politics: Operations vs. intelligence vs. logistics admirals compete for top spots

O-8: Rear Admiral (Upper Half) (RADM) - The Real Political Deal

Official Navy Description: "Senior flag officers who command numbered fleets, major operational commands, or serve in key staff positions. They are responsible for theater-level operations and strategic military planning."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $11,329.50/month ($135,954/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$155,000-180,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: You've graduated from "Lower Half" to "Upper Half" and your salary reflects it. You're commanding entire fleets while navigating politics that would make a senator dizzy.

Promotion to Vice Admiral:

  • Political Reality: At this level, it's almost entirely political:
    • White House relationships: You need to be known by National Security Council staff
    • Congressional testimony skills: You'll be grilled by politicians regularly
    • Alliance management: International relationships matter enormously
    • Crisis management: How you handle disasters defines your career
  • Selection Rate: ~50% of upper half admirals make three stars
  • Board Politics:
    • Presidential influence: The President's national security priorities affect selections
    • Think tank connections: Relationships with policy institutes matter
    • Media savvy: Ability to represent the Navy in public becomes crucial

O-9: Vice Admiral (VADM) - The Strategic Political Masterminds

Official Navy Description: "Three-star flag officers who command major fleets, unified combatant commands, or serve as senior staff officers in joint commands. They are responsible for regional military strategy and major operational planning."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $12,398.70/month ($148,784/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$170,000-200,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: Nearly $150K base pay to play chess with fleets while managing relationships with world leaders. You're not just part of the Navy anymore – you ARE the Navy's face to the world.

Promotion to Admiral:

  • Political Reality: Pure politics at the highest level:
    • Presidential approval: The President personally knows who you are
    • Senate confirmation: Your promotion requires congressional approval
    • International reputation: Foreign allies and competitors know your name
    • Crisis leadership: Your response to international incidents matters more than anything
  • Selection Rate: ~30% of vice admirals make four stars (only ~8-12 four-star admirals in the entire Navy at any time)

O-10: Admiral (ADM) - The Ultimate Political Ocean Gods

Official Navy Description: "Four-star flag officers who serve as senior leaders of major commands, unified combatant commands, or as senior staff officers in joint and combined commands. They are responsible for strategic military planning at the highest levels."

Official Pay (2025):

  • Base Pay: $16,774.20/month ($201,290/year)
  • With BAH/BAS: ~$230,000-260,000/year depending on location

Reality Check: You're earning more than most Fortune 500 CEOs to command oceans and advise presidents. At this level, you're not just a naval officer – you're a global strategic leader whose decisions affect international relations.

The Ultimate Political Reality: Admirals are nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate. Every decision you make gets analyzed by foreign intelligence services, congressional committees, and international media. Your phone calls move markets and militaries.


The Brutal Truth About Navy Promotion Boards

How Selection Boards Really Work:

  1. The Numbers Game: Each promotion board has specific quotas by community. Surface warfare, aviation, submarines, and special operations fight for limited slots.

  2. The "Golden Path" Reality: Certain career progressions are heavily favored:

    • Surface: DDG department head → DDG XO → DDG CO → Major staff → Cruiser/LHD CO
    • Aviation: Squadron department head → Squadron XO → Squadron CO → Major staff → Air wing command
    • Submarines: Department head → XO → CO → Major staff → Squadron command
  3. The Fitness Report Game: Your promotion depends entirely on how well your boss writes. A single poorly written fitness report can end a 15-year career.

  4. The Mentor Network: Officers without flag officer mentors rarely make it past commander. The informal "old boys network" is alive and well.

  5. Geographic Politics: Some commands are promotion enhancers, others are career killers. Everyone knows which is which.

  6. The Risk Aversion Factor: Modern promotion boards are terrified of controversy. Any hint of scandal, media attention, or congressional inquiry kills careers.

  7. The Joint Requirement: You cannot make flag rank without significant joint assignments, but joint assignments often hurt your warfare community credibility.

The Unspoken Rules:

  • Never embarrass the Navy: Headlines end careers faster than poor performance
  • Timing is everything: Being promoted early creates a career snowball effect
  • Politics matter more than competence: Especially at senior levels
  • The "diversity initiative" is real: Modern boards consider demographics alongside performance
  • Congressional connections help: Sadly, it's often who you know, not what you know
  • Media training is essential: One bad interview can torpedo decades of service

The Warrant Officer Alternative:

While commissioned officers play political games, warrant officers focus on technical expertise and often have more job satisfaction, better work-life balance, and competitive pay without the political stress. They're the Navy's best-kept secret for a reason.


The Bottom Line: The Navy's promotion system is a complex political machine wrapped in the veneer of meritocracy. While competence matters, politics, timing, and luck often determine who climbs the ladder. The official descriptions paint a picture of systematic career progression, but the reality is a cutthroat competition where only the politically savvy survive to the top.

Fair winds, following seas, and may the promotion board politics be ever in your favor!